The four major weather forecasting organizations are predicting a very active 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season. This is in large part due to the very warm Atlantic and low likelihood of El Niño – El Niño is the atmospheric condition that creates upper level wind shear that can hinder the early development of hurricanes and tropical storms.
Colorado State’s Bill Gray and protege Philip Klotzbach, the pioneers of seasonal hurricane forecasting, predict a blockbuster hurricane season, with 18 named storms, 9 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes. (The 1981-2010 30-year averages are 12.1 named storms, 6.4 hurricanes, and 2.7 major hurricanes.)
The Colorado State also predict a high likelihood that a hurricane and, perhaps, major hurricane will make landfall along the Atlantic and/or Gulf coast. They say there’s a 72 percent chance a hurricane will strike the coast and a 61 percent chance of a major hurricane coming ashore.
“The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be about 140 percent of the long-period average,” Klotzbach and Gray write.
The U.S. has avoided the landfall of a major hurricane in 7 consecutive seasons, the longest such period on record. Hurricane Wilma was the last major hurricane to strike the U.S. coast back on October 24, 2005.
WeatherBell 2013 hurricane season outlook graphic (WeatherBell.com)
“A wild season is on the way, and the ‘major hit drought’ on the U.S. coast should end,” meteorologist Joe Bastardi writes in the hurricane season outlook from WeatherBell, a private forecasting company.
Although it is impossible to forecast precisely, the April forecasts have become more and more accurate as technology and science improves.
Assurance Power Systems believes that it is better to be prepared for devastating natural events than to be blindsided by mother nature. One of the ways you can prepare for the tropical storms season is with an automatic standby generator. Extended power outages can be devastating and costly. Standby generators are akin to “power interruption insurance” that kick in as soon as our vulnerable utility grid fails you.
Hurricanes don’t care if you’re prepared. We do!
Share this article:
EasyBlog.require()
.script(“bookmarklet”)
.done(function($) {
$(‘#sb-1167821990’).bookmarklet(‘facebook’, {
“url”: “https://assurancepower.com/aps-blog/be-prepared-for-a-qwild-seasonq”,
“send”: “1”,
“size”: “large”,
“verb”: “like”,
“locale”: “en_GB”,
“theme”: “light”,
“tracking” : false });
});
EasyBlog.require()
.script(“bookmarklet”)
.done(function($) {
$(‘#sb-1193953644’).bookmarklet(‘twitter’, {
“text”: “Be+Prepared+for+a+%22Wild+Season%22”,
“url”: “https://assurancepower.com/aps-blog/be-prepared-for-a-qwild-seasonq”,
“via”: “”,
“size”: “large”,
“tracking” : false });
});
EasyBlog.require()
.script(“bookmarklet”)
.done(function($) {
$(‘#sb-2100859871’).bookmarklet(‘google’, {
“href”: “https://assurancepower.com/aps-blog/be-prepared-for-a-qwild-seasonq”,
“size”: “large”
});
});
EasyBlog.require()
.script(“bookmarklet”)
.done(function($) {
$(‘#sb-604700018’).bookmarklet(‘linkedin’, {
“href”: “https://assurancepower.com/aps-blog/be-prepared-for-a-qwild-seasonq”,
“size”: “large”
});
});
Share
0Save
